Month: May 2020

Market Take Over

Early signs of growing demand for crude oil have prompted market optimism that has led to increased WTI buying, setting the stage for the benchmark’s best-ever monthly performance regardless of domestic storage hitting their highest levels in history. With oil surging, there seems to be renewed optimism in the energy industry.

The Incoming Glut: Excessive Levels of Heavy Crude Supply in a Saturated Market

The worst of the coronavirus induced oil crash seems to have bottomed out as storage inventories saw fairly dramatic drawdowns in the final weeks of May, a reversal of events from the past several months. Such relief may be all but eliminated in the ensuing week as an influx of nearly fifty million barrels of foreign crude oil is about to reach the U.S. Gulf and West coasts. The volume of incoming crude may offset most of the production cuts generated by domestic operators and extend low oil prices until the inventories can be worked back down.

Trusting the Process

This time last month WTI prices went negative for the first time in history as the May front month contract expired. Instead of plunging into negative territory again this month with the expiry of the June contract, prices remained strong and rallied into the thirties for the first time since March. Does this indicate the worst is over for the global oil industry?

Post-Crisis Recovery: Oil Supply and Demand is Moving Back Towards Equilibrium with China Leading the Way

The dual black swan events of 2020 have thrown supply and demand far out of equilibrium but with China purchasing crude again and various parts of the United States starting to open back up, global oil demand is beginning to return. As the world begins to recover to pre-pandemic levels, market forces will support the shift back towards equilibrium just like the shift we are currently seeing in China.

The Assault on the Petro-Dollar – Additional Information

President & CEO of RARE PETRO, Anthony D. McDaniels, sat down with Kathryn Mills of The Crude Audacity Podcast to discuss the assault on the PetroDollar LIVE on Facebook and YouTube. It was an energetic discussion on today’s Global Oil Market and what it means for the strength of the American Oilfield, American Energy Security, and American Global Influence. While their conversation was lively, it was not quite long enough to dive deep into the complex intricacies fueling this Oil War. Check out our analysis below!

Steps in the Right Direction

For the first time since January, crude oil inventories declined indicating the world has begun its journey on the road to a slow and fragile recovery. While this does not mean the global oil and gas industry is out of the weeds just yet, this week’s events show steps in the right direction.

Crude Utilization and Commodity Pricing: The Relationship between Storage at the Cushing Hub and its Influence on WTI Pricing

There is a strong inverse relationship between crude storage levels seen at the Cushing, Oklahoma facility and WTI futures price. This relationship exists even though the storage facility only holds a percentage of total domestic crude inventory. In fact, data suggests that in order for crude prices to stabilize above $55 per barrel, inventory in Cushing will need to drop below 47.5 million barrels, or about 62% storage utilization at the facility.

The Road to Recovery

Global Economies are officially shrinking with the release of first quarter data, shell wells are being shut-in, global crude has nowhere to go, and according to new EIA data, the United States actually produced more energy than it consumed for the first time since the late 1950s in 2019.