Retirement Travel Boosts Gasoline Demand, China Challenges OPEC+ Strategy

Posted: February 10, 2023

RP Weekly Recap | February 3-10

Summary

Domestically, due to an increase in retirement travel, boomers are driving a higher-than-expected rise in gasoline demand, making the demand more resistant to inflation. Retirement savings are prioritized for travel, and although gasoline demand may have peaked, a sharp decline is not anticipated. In other news, given that half of this year’s demand growth is being driven by a rise in Chinese consumption, OPEC+ may need to reevaluate its output strategy if China’s oil demand picks up. Due to the EU’s ban on Russian diesel and other petroleum products, OPEC+ is unlikely to keep oil prices below $80 per barrel.


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